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Will 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion?


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Some people are protesting a proposed expansion of London Heathrow. I saw some protestors of the Heathrow expansion with signs that read "Stop 700 more planes a day".



Photo of protestors



Will 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?










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    2















    Some people are protesting a proposed expansion of London Heathrow. I saw some protestors of the Heathrow expansion with signs that read "Stop 700 more planes a day".



    Photo of protestors



    Will 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?










    share|improve this question









    New contributor




    J. D is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
    Check out our Code of Conduct.























      2












      2








      2








      Some people are protesting a proposed expansion of London Heathrow. I saw some protestors of the Heathrow expansion with signs that read "Stop 700 more planes a day".



      Photo of protestors



      Will 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?










      share|improve this question









      New contributor




      J. D is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
      Check out our Code of Conduct.












      Some people are protesting a proposed expansion of London Heathrow. I saw some protestors of the Heathrow expansion with signs that read "Stop 700 more planes a day".



      Photo of protestors



      Will 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?







      aviation






      share|improve this question









      New contributor




      J. D is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
      Check out our Code of Conduct.











      share|improve this question









      New contributor




      J. D is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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      share|improve this question




      share|improve this question








      edited 23 mins ago









      Barry Harrison

      3,59811355




      3,59811355






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      asked 3 hours ago









      J. DJ. D

      112




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      New contributor





      J. D is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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          2 Answers
          2






          active

          oldest

          votes


















          4














          Heathrow Airport has a "dedicated website" for the planned creation of an additional runway. From the dedicated website (emphasis added):




          Heathrow Today




          • 98% capacity – Flight movements at Heathrow are capped at 480,000/year


          Heathrow Expansion:




          • 740,000 flight movements capacity




          Assuming the capacity in the expanded airport is still per year (as is explicitly stated on another Heathrow Airport website), there would be the capacity for an additional 260,000 flights per year. That is equivalent to ~712 flights per day offered by the additional capacity.



          OAG, "an air travel intelligence company," predicts a total of 140,556 air traffic movements (ATMs). Their report is pretty comprehensive and includes long-haul, short-haul, etc. A single departure (and arrival) counts as one ATM. Thus, the increase of 140,556 ATMs is equivalent to 385 additional flights per day. Equivalently, 54.1% of the additional capacity is expected to be used, and not 100%.



          To summarize:




          Would 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?




          Maybe. Probably not. The expansion will increase the airport capacity by 712 flights per day. This is not a guarantee that 712 extra flights will occur a day. In fact, an airline analysis company predicts just 385 additional flights per day. This figure is nowhere near 700.






          share|improve this answer































            2














            Yes, assuming that the airport continues to run at 98% capacity or higher.



            According to Heathrowexpansion.com (a site apparently also owned by the airport), the expansion would have a "740,000 flight movements capacity" (per year for three runways) while currently the capacity is 480,000/year. This makes the math to figure out the new cap (740,000-480,000)/365 which is about 712 flights per day more than the previous cap. If they run at 98% capacity that makes it 698 flights per day extra.






            share|improve this answer



















            • 2





              But that's a big assumption to make when you've increased capacity by 50%.

              – Bob
              26 mins ago











            • @Bob Is the other answer correct? "Probably not." In bold. That is a strong statement.

              – J. D
              12 mins ago



















            2 Answers
            2






            active

            oldest

            votes








            2 Answers
            2






            active

            oldest

            votes









            active

            oldest

            votes






            active

            oldest

            votes









            4














            Heathrow Airport has a "dedicated website" for the planned creation of an additional runway. From the dedicated website (emphasis added):




            Heathrow Today




            • 98% capacity – Flight movements at Heathrow are capped at 480,000/year


            Heathrow Expansion:




            • 740,000 flight movements capacity




            Assuming the capacity in the expanded airport is still per year (as is explicitly stated on another Heathrow Airport website), there would be the capacity for an additional 260,000 flights per year. That is equivalent to ~712 flights per day offered by the additional capacity.



            OAG, "an air travel intelligence company," predicts a total of 140,556 air traffic movements (ATMs). Their report is pretty comprehensive and includes long-haul, short-haul, etc. A single departure (and arrival) counts as one ATM. Thus, the increase of 140,556 ATMs is equivalent to 385 additional flights per day. Equivalently, 54.1% of the additional capacity is expected to be used, and not 100%.



            To summarize:




            Would 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?




            Maybe. Probably not. The expansion will increase the airport capacity by 712 flights per day. This is not a guarantee that 712 extra flights will occur a day. In fact, an airline analysis company predicts just 385 additional flights per day. This figure is nowhere near 700.






            share|improve this answer




























              4














              Heathrow Airport has a "dedicated website" for the planned creation of an additional runway. From the dedicated website (emphasis added):




              Heathrow Today




              • 98% capacity – Flight movements at Heathrow are capped at 480,000/year


              Heathrow Expansion:




              • 740,000 flight movements capacity




              Assuming the capacity in the expanded airport is still per year (as is explicitly stated on another Heathrow Airport website), there would be the capacity for an additional 260,000 flights per year. That is equivalent to ~712 flights per day offered by the additional capacity.



              OAG, "an air travel intelligence company," predicts a total of 140,556 air traffic movements (ATMs). Their report is pretty comprehensive and includes long-haul, short-haul, etc. A single departure (and arrival) counts as one ATM. Thus, the increase of 140,556 ATMs is equivalent to 385 additional flights per day. Equivalently, 54.1% of the additional capacity is expected to be used, and not 100%.



              To summarize:




              Would 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?




              Maybe. Probably not. The expansion will increase the airport capacity by 712 flights per day. This is not a guarantee that 712 extra flights will occur a day. In fact, an airline analysis company predicts just 385 additional flights per day. This figure is nowhere near 700.






              share|improve this answer


























                4












                4








                4







                Heathrow Airport has a "dedicated website" for the planned creation of an additional runway. From the dedicated website (emphasis added):




                Heathrow Today




                • 98% capacity – Flight movements at Heathrow are capped at 480,000/year


                Heathrow Expansion:




                • 740,000 flight movements capacity




                Assuming the capacity in the expanded airport is still per year (as is explicitly stated on another Heathrow Airport website), there would be the capacity for an additional 260,000 flights per year. That is equivalent to ~712 flights per day offered by the additional capacity.



                OAG, "an air travel intelligence company," predicts a total of 140,556 air traffic movements (ATMs). Their report is pretty comprehensive and includes long-haul, short-haul, etc. A single departure (and arrival) counts as one ATM. Thus, the increase of 140,556 ATMs is equivalent to 385 additional flights per day. Equivalently, 54.1% of the additional capacity is expected to be used, and not 100%.



                To summarize:




                Would 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?




                Maybe. Probably not. The expansion will increase the airport capacity by 712 flights per day. This is not a guarantee that 712 extra flights will occur a day. In fact, an airline analysis company predicts just 385 additional flights per day. This figure is nowhere near 700.






                share|improve this answer













                Heathrow Airport has a "dedicated website" for the planned creation of an additional runway. From the dedicated website (emphasis added):




                Heathrow Today




                • 98% capacity – Flight movements at Heathrow are capped at 480,000/year


                Heathrow Expansion:




                • 740,000 flight movements capacity




                Assuming the capacity in the expanded airport is still per year (as is explicitly stated on another Heathrow Airport website), there would be the capacity for an additional 260,000 flights per year. That is equivalent to ~712 flights per day offered by the additional capacity.



                OAG, "an air travel intelligence company," predicts a total of 140,556 air traffic movements (ATMs). Their report is pretty comprehensive and includes long-haul, short-haul, etc. A single departure (and arrival) counts as one ATM. Thus, the increase of 140,556 ATMs is equivalent to 385 additional flights per day. Equivalently, 54.1% of the additional capacity is expected to be used, and not 100%.



                To summarize:




                Would 700 more planes a day fly because of the Heathrow expansion, as the signs imply?




                Maybe. Probably not. The expansion will increase the airport capacity by 712 flights per day. This is not a guarantee that 712 extra flights will occur a day. In fact, an airline analysis company predicts just 385 additional flights per day. This figure is nowhere near 700.







                share|improve this answer












                share|improve this answer



                share|improve this answer










                answered 3 hours ago









                Barry HarrisonBarry Harrison

                3,59811355




                3,59811355























                    2














                    Yes, assuming that the airport continues to run at 98% capacity or higher.



                    According to Heathrowexpansion.com (a site apparently also owned by the airport), the expansion would have a "740,000 flight movements capacity" (per year for three runways) while currently the capacity is 480,000/year. This makes the math to figure out the new cap (740,000-480,000)/365 which is about 712 flights per day more than the previous cap. If they run at 98% capacity that makes it 698 flights per day extra.






                    share|improve this answer



















                    • 2





                      But that's a big assumption to make when you've increased capacity by 50%.

                      – Bob
                      26 mins ago











                    • @Bob Is the other answer correct? "Probably not." In bold. That is a strong statement.

                      – J. D
                      12 mins ago
















                    2














                    Yes, assuming that the airport continues to run at 98% capacity or higher.



                    According to Heathrowexpansion.com (a site apparently also owned by the airport), the expansion would have a "740,000 flight movements capacity" (per year for three runways) while currently the capacity is 480,000/year. This makes the math to figure out the new cap (740,000-480,000)/365 which is about 712 flights per day more than the previous cap. If they run at 98% capacity that makes it 698 flights per day extra.






                    share|improve this answer



















                    • 2





                      But that's a big assumption to make when you've increased capacity by 50%.

                      – Bob
                      26 mins ago











                    • @Bob Is the other answer correct? "Probably not." In bold. That is a strong statement.

                      – J. D
                      12 mins ago














                    2












                    2








                    2







                    Yes, assuming that the airport continues to run at 98% capacity or higher.



                    According to Heathrowexpansion.com (a site apparently also owned by the airport), the expansion would have a "740,000 flight movements capacity" (per year for three runways) while currently the capacity is 480,000/year. This makes the math to figure out the new cap (740,000-480,000)/365 which is about 712 flights per day more than the previous cap. If they run at 98% capacity that makes it 698 flights per day extra.






                    share|improve this answer













                    Yes, assuming that the airport continues to run at 98% capacity or higher.



                    According to Heathrowexpansion.com (a site apparently also owned by the airport), the expansion would have a "740,000 flight movements capacity" (per year for three runways) while currently the capacity is 480,000/year. This makes the math to figure out the new cap (740,000-480,000)/365 which is about 712 flights per day more than the previous cap. If they run at 98% capacity that makes it 698 flights per day extra.







                    share|improve this answer












                    share|improve this answer



                    share|improve this answer










                    answered 3 hours ago









                    LaurelLaurel

                    12.7k65361




                    12.7k65361








                    • 2





                      But that's a big assumption to make when you've increased capacity by 50%.

                      – Bob
                      26 mins ago











                    • @Bob Is the other answer correct? "Probably not." In bold. That is a strong statement.

                      – J. D
                      12 mins ago














                    • 2





                      But that's a big assumption to make when you've increased capacity by 50%.

                      – Bob
                      26 mins ago











                    • @Bob Is the other answer correct? "Probably not." In bold. That is a strong statement.

                      – J. D
                      12 mins ago








                    2




                    2





                    But that's a big assumption to make when you've increased capacity by 50%.

                    – Bob
                    26 mins ago





                    But that's a big assumption to make when you've increased capacity by 50%.

                    – Bob
                    26 mins ago













                    @Bob Is the other answer correct? "Probably not." In bold. That is a strong statement.

                    – J. D
                    12 mins ago





                    @Bob Is the other answer correct? "Probably not." In bold. That is a strong statement.

                    – J. D
                    12 mins ago



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